BBC Sport Chief Football Writer Talks About His Football Prediction Failures
Footbal Predictions| 04.06.2020
"I was not on my own but it did not make the original claim any less embarrassing", says Phil McNulty - BBC Sport chief football writer
There is no doubt that football betting is fun, exciting, and lucrative. Football betting is one of the fastest ways of getting rich, but at the same time, football betting can be very challenging and unprofitable due to poor prediction techniques.
Some punters believe that their understanding of football is enough to predict the correct outcomes, while others think that visiting professional prediction sites is a waste of time. Bravo to these set of punter, because their idea is the reason why they earn small returns from their massive investment in gambling.
Making reference to Phil McNulty, BBC Sport's Chief Football Writer, who is a highly knowledgeable football pundit with over 25 years’ experience as a sports journalist, we will show you how ridiculous it is to rely on one's knowledge when predicting football. Phil has covered so many sporting events for BBC like the world cups in South Africa, Germany, South Korea, and Japan as well as European Championships in Ukraine, Portugal and Poland, and France. His major brief is covering the Champions League and the English Premier League. Phil has also been included in the UK Press Gazette’s list of the top 50 UK sports Journalists.
The Unpredictability of Winning the Odds of Football Betting
Here are some of the very wrong football predictions made by Phil McNulty, and you will also fall into the same error if you rely on only your knowledge of football and fail to choose the right prediction site:
In 2015 when Leicester City appointed Claudio Ranieri as the new manager, Phil did not only lambast his appointment but also predicted that The Foxes would be relegated.To his utter surprise, Leicester went ahead to qualify for the champions league group stage; they also won the English Premier League that year.In Phil's words: "I was not on my own, but it did not make the original claim any less embarrassing."
In 2014, Mr. Phil used his football knowledge to predict that its host, Brazil, will win the 2014 World Cup. But to his utter dismay, Brazil fell to a historic 7 – 1 semi-final defeat, from the hands of eventual winners Germany.
In July 2010, when Liverpool appointed Roy Hodgson as the successor to Rafa Benitez, Phil stated that the decision was unquestionably logical and that Hodgson was the best fit for Liverpool. But fast forward to January 2011, Hodgson was sacked after winning just 7 games out of 20 league games. He left Liverpool in the 12th position, having been dumped out from the Carling cup too. There was nothing perfect in that appointment, after all.
The peak of all the wrong predictions made by Phil McNulty was when he predicted that it would be a miracle for Manchester United to win PSG in Paris after falling by a 2 – 0 scoreline in Old Trafford. In Phil's words, "the outcome of years of mismanagement at Old Trafford. It would be optimism gone mad to suggest the second leg in Paris will be anything other than completion of formalities". Those words turned out to be unwise as Manchester United did not only win in Paris; they qualified for the quarter-finals of the Champions League.
During the 2009/10 EPL campaign, Phil predicted that it was Liverpool’s turn to win the league after 20 years of waiting. He made this call due to the fact that Liverpool had finished second in the previous season, with only Manchester United leading them with only four points. In his words, “Hopes have never been higher than the title will be reclaimed after a 20-year barren spell - but was last season the great missed opportunity or the primer for the Premier League crown?". He even finished his article confidently with the word “CHAMPIONS.” To his surprise, Liverpool’s league standings in that year was 7th, they even finished trophyless, and Benitez was sacked at the end of that season. Liverpool still awaits the winning of the EPL title till today.
“if there is one incorrect call that comes back to haunt on a regular basis, this is one” – Phil McNulty.
In December 2009, when Manchester City sacked Mark Hughes as its manager, Phil saw it as senseless because, during that season, Manchester City finished 6th in the EPL with just two draws, and they were also in the semi-finals of the Carling Cup. Phil criticized the appointment of Hughes Successor, Roberto Mancini, who had won the Serie A three times with Inter Milan and was also decent at Lazio and Fiorentina but was untested and unproven in the EPL.
“Time will tell if this is a wise move or a designer manager decision by a hierarchy simply keen to have a bigger, more high profile name on the door.”
That same season Mancini did win City its first major trophy in 35 years by winning the FA Cup in 2011. He also won City its first EPL title in 44 years in 2012.
How unwise can you still remain adamant on making predictions based on only your own football knowledge?
Going too early on Arsenal’s revolution? After Arsenal’s 4 – 2 win over Tottenham Hotspurs in December 2018, Phil thought that the Arsenal’s revolution has begun. In his words, “I got carried away, maybe because of the thousands of home fans who chanted mightily: We’ve Got Our Arsenal Back.”
He further wrote, “Emery has blown the winds of change through Arsenal like a hurricane. It is, quite simply, like watching a different team in a different stadium." To Phil’s surprise, Unai Emery was sacked the following season after several poor performances.
Like Phil McNulty, the BBC expert, we know that many bettors think that they know what to bet on, but as you can see, even Phil has failed so often when relying on his own knowledge of football in making predictions.
In fact, his wrong predictions are way higher than his right predictions despite his wide and longtime experience as a football journalist and predictor.
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